The S&P 500 rose to a record high on Tuesday — ahead of the key Federal Reserve decision — as strong corporate earnings gave investors confidence in a year-end rally.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 130 points to an intraday high. The S&P 500 added 0.4% to an intraday record and the tech-focused Nasdaq Composite gained 0.3%. All three averages closed at all-time highs on Monday. The small cap benchmark Russell 2000 rose 0.1%, after popping 2.6% on Monday.
Pfizer shares rose 3.8% after the drug maker’s third-quarter profit topped expectations. It also raised its 2021 revenue and EPS outlook.
Tesla shares cooled off Tuesday after popping during the end of October. Shares of the electric automaker dipped 2%, though they are up more than 50% over just the past month. The drop follows a report that the carmaker is recalling 11,700 of its vehicles due to a communications error, and a tweet from company founder Elon Musk that Tesla has yet to sign a contract with rental giant Hertz. Tesla was off its lows of the day.
All three major U.S. stock indexes hit new intraday highs and closed at records during Monday’s regular session as investors continue to bet on a year-end rally despite supply chain issues, Covid risk and a Federal Reserve that’s about to indicate it’s going to pull back on some stimulus. The Fed’s two-day meeting begins Tuesday.
The S&P 500 has averaged gains of 1.1% in November and 2.3% in December since 1936, notes Bank of America. The final month of the year is in the green 79% of the time, the firm notes. However, Bank of America is cautious.
“We continue to see downside risks ahead,” wrote Savita Subramanian, the bank’s head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy. “Despite a strong 7% beat, 2021-22 EPS remains largely unchanged, suggesting the upward revision cycle has likely peaked.”
The Fed at the conclusion of its two-day meeting on Wednesday is expected to announce it will begin unwinding its $120 billion in monthly bond purchases implemented during the pandemic.
The October jobs report is on Friday.
“The November FOMC meeting, October payrolls…and a host of earnings updates sets up a catalyst heavy week of trading ahead,” Goldman Sachs’ Chris Hussey said in a note.
Better-than-expected corporate earnings results boosted the U.S. stock averages to finish October at record highs, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq posting their best months since November 2020.
As of Monday evening, according to FactSet, 55.8% of S&P 500 companies have reported quarterly financial results, with 82% beating earnings estimates.